The organization pegs the grain crop at 295.5 million tons, a drop from the 299.2m tons seen in the third forecast in June and 16.1m tons lower than the 2019 level of 311.6m tons.
Wheat production (excluding durum) is seen at 129.1m tons, down from the previous 129.7m tons and reduced compared to last year’s output of 146.8m tons.
“Significant downward revisions in France and the Balkan countries are not completely offset by upward revisions in Poland, the Baltic countries, and Scandinavia,” found the analysis.
The EU’s 2020 barley production is now forecast at 62.5m tons, down from the 63.4m tons seen in the previous forecast, but up from the 62.1m tons last year.
The downward revision is mainly due to lower yields in France.
The EU’s 2020 corn crop is revised down to 64.6m tons from the previous forecast of 66.8m tons. Last year’s crop was at 64.8m tons.
“Hot and dry weather has reduced yield potential in France, Germany and the Balkan countries.”
Rapeseed raised up
The 2020 rapeseed production forecast for the EU-27+UK has been revised up from 16.5m tons to 17m tons, with Coceral saying that yields in Germany, Poland and the Baltic countries are better than previously expected. Last year’s rapeseed crop came in at 16.9m tons.
Coceral is the European association representing trade in cereals, rice, feedstuffs, oilseeds, olive oil, oils, fats and agrosupply, supporting collectors, distributors, exporters, importers and agribulk storers of those commodities.